Political Devolution Promises Peace

I extremely believe the war in Sri Lanka is not over yet even though at this moment its look like the LTTE militarily defeated. Historically it’s proven the separatism will not end without the political solutions. I take few countries as an example. Even though India has a huge military installation yet until this time, the peace is still a big question mark in Kashmir. Same goes with Israel-Palestine conflict, South Thailand and Mindanao just to name few. It was totally different with Aceh, Timor Timor, North Ireland when the related government agreed for the political solutions and the peace prospered later.

Eelam struggle was not about Prabhakaran struggle but it was started long ago before he came to the picture. I believe SL Tamilians decided to go for arm struggle after they fail for independent nation in peace manner. Their peace struggle was return with violence and riots.

Vaddukkoaddai Resolution presented by S.J.V. Chelvanayakam on 14 May 1976 clearly indicated the Eelam as a solution for the ethnic conflict in Sri Lanka. Its proven fact, when Dutch colonise Sri Lanka they recognised the existence of two kingdoms, Singhalese and Tamil kingdom. When British took the colonies for the sake of administration they combined the two kingdoms under one office. This was done for the administrative purpose only. When British left, equality was guaranteed in country highest law for all the citizens under the unitary state but then the extremist from Singahala community hijacked the constitution for the politcal domination. Since then the struggle started and the Singhalese replied the peace struggle for equal status with pre-plan ethnic riots which was back-up by government military.

Government of Sri Lanka (GOSL) proclaimed the military war is over and LTTE will not be able to bounce back which I see as over confident statement and it's too early to seal the answer. Whether LTTE will bounce back or not it's all depends on Mahindra Rajapakse, president of Sri Lanka. He declared the war was not against the Tamilians. If that was true then he have to walk his talk to make sure all the Sri Lanka citizens irrespective of race or religion given their due rights otherwise within 12 to 24 months, the arm struggle will emerged again.

Sri Lanka Chief Justice Sarath N.Silva said "They [referring to Tamilians in concentration camp] cannot expect justice from the law of the country. The statement from higher authority in judiciary shows in order to deliver the justice to Tamil community, Mahindra's should start to reform Sri Lanka highest law. I doubt he will be able to deliver his promises since his political career are very much embedded in extremist hands. Monks have rejected the idea for the political devolution and definitely they will make sure the due rights for Tamilians denied. All this while GOSL refused for political solutions due to the LTTE presence but today they have no reason for the denial any more. If the rights of Tamilians denied even after the military defeat then for sure arm struggle will emerge again.

For India; the situation is bad since the failure to bring peace in this tiny island have given the room for Russia and China to intervene by supplying the military equipment to Sri Lanka army. Even the India's image from his diasporas perspective is negative. Even though at this moment, its look like GOSL still accept India as his defence and security friend but any extended pressure from Indian government for the political devolution to Tamilians might provoke the anti-Indian sentiments. It's an open secret Singhalese never trusted Indians 100 percent. They always have doubts since its was another open secret, Indian Intelligence Research and Analysis Wing [RAW] have supported and trained LTTE in Tamil Nadu for number of years.

Some reliable source said GOSL principally agreed to China request to build military base in Sri Lanka. If the source is true then the China military base in South India will be an open threat to Indians security and sovereignty. I see more loop holes in India's foreign policy especially policy to his neighbours and their failure to bring peace in Sri Lanka much earlier shows their incapability to perform in international platform. It's really put's doubts on India's capability to solve the international issues. India have to play a greater role, to bring peace in Sri Lanka and at the same time to make sure the Tamilians guaranteed their rights without jeopardising the relations with GOSL. If the situation went out of Indian control then GOSL might change their qiblat from India to China.

I believe only the politcal devolution will promise the peace in Sri Lanka.